2014年10月3日，星期五
根据几个很有名的专家所说，股价下跌50%只是时间的问题。
“面对即将到来的一场很严重的股票市场崩盘，我们没有权利吃惊”，Mark Spitznagel说道。他因在2008年世界危机中获得数十亿的盈利而变得臭名昭著。“事实上，我们必须完全指望它”
不幸的是，Spitznagel 并不是唯一的一个持这种说法的人。
“我们正在经历一个巨大的金融资产泡沫”，瑞士顾问以及基金经理Marc Faber说道。“它随时都有可能爆发”。
Faber毫不犹豫地把责任明确地归结到奥巴马的大政府政策以及美联储高风险的低息政策，这些政策，他说道，“惩罚了赚钱的人，储蓄的人，也就是你的父母——为什么要强迫他们去炒作股票，房地产以及其他所有阳光下的东西呢？”
据传，亿万投资家华伦巴菲特正在为一次股市崩盘做准备。“华伦巴菲特指标”，也被称为“总市值与GDP的比值”，这在打破出售警报的水平，崩盘随时可能发生。
不可避免的崩盘正在临近，华尔街的投资者在做什么？一种选择是卖掉你所有的股票并将钱取出，另一种方法是冒险度过这次风暴。
Sean Hyman，绝对盈利公司（Absolute Profits）的创始人，他提供了第三种方法。“有些特定的行业会保证在接下来的几个月中表现良好”， Hyman解释。“现在离开股市代价是很大的”。
Hyman 为何会如此肯定？
他得到了华尔街投资日历，它从1968年开始就实现了250%的总体盈利。这个日历仅仅列出了19只股票投资（根据其市场领域）以及买卖它们的38个日期，通过这种方法，你可以在20年的时间内将$1,000转换成高达$178,000的盈利。
“但是这个日历只是我投资系统的一部分，” Hyman补充说。“我也设计了一个危机警报系统，他可以在一个大回调之前警告投资者。”
（危机警告系统实际上是冷战时期编码核弹头飞行模式的一个人设计的，它可以实现接近100%的准确性）。
Hyman解释说，如果市场开始暴跌，危机警告系统就会发出卖出信号，提醒交易者变现。“如果你在2000~2008年期间使用我们这个基于回溯测试的系统，那么你将会完全避免经济危机”，“想像一下如果你成功避免那些恐怖的抛售潮，你将会避免损失多少资金。”。
有人可能会认为Sean过于自信，但是他已经在数以万计的人们面前一次又一次地证明了自己的正确性。
彭博财经频道在2012年的采访中，Hyman成功的预测到百思买股票每股将会降至$11，之后会在下面几个月反弹到$40。事实证明，这只股票确实与Hyman预测的一样。
然后，他福克斯的Gerri Willis于 2013年对他的商业采访中预测：尽管投资者中存在大量的抛售潮，但是市场将会反弹到15，000的新高。股票市场几乎立刻反弹到了Hymn预测的目标价位。
“有些人认为我们幸运，”Hymn说。“但这和运气是毫无关系的。它和我使用的某种工具有关，比如华尔街的交易日历以及我的危机警告系统。”
金融市场越来越不稳定，成千上万的人涌向Hymn并寻求他的指导。他每月时讯期刊有超越114,000名订阅者，他的投资视频也被点击了上万次。在近期的一个视频中，他不仅揭示了华尔街投资日历也展示了他的危机警告系统是如何工作的，这样任何人都可以跟随他的脚步。
Warning: Stocks Will Collapse by 50%
Friday, 3，Oct，2014 02:02 AM
It is only a matter of time before the stock market plunges by 50% or more, according to several reputable experts.
“We have no right to be surprised by a severe and imminent stock market crash,” explains Mark Spitznagel, a hedge fund manager who is notorious for his hugely profitable billion-dollar bet on the 2008 crisis. “In fact, we must absolutely expect it."
Unfortunately Spitznagel isn’t alone.
“We are in a gigantic financial asset bubble,” warns Swiss adviser and fund manager Marc Faber. “It could burst any day.”
Faber doesn’t hesitate to put the blame squarely on President Obama’s big-government policies and the Federal Reserve’s risky low-rate policies, which, he says, “penalize the income earners, the savers who save, your parents — why should your parents be forced to speculate in stocks and in real estate and everything under the sun?”
Billion-dollar investor Warren Buffett is rumored to be preparing for a crash as well. The “Warren Buffett Indicator,” also known as the “Total Market Cap to GDP Ratio,” is breaching sell-alert status and a collapse may happen at any moment.
So with an inevitable crash looming, what are Main Street investors to do? One option is to sell all your stocks and stuff your money under the mattress, and another option is to risk everything and ride out the storm.
But according to Sean Hyman, founder of Absolute Profits, there is a third option.
“There are specific sectors of the market that are all but guaranteed to perform well during the next few months,” Hyman explains. “Getting out of stocks now could be costly.”
How can Hyman be so sure?
He has access to a secret Wall Street calendar that has beaten the overall market by 250% since 1968. This calendar simply lists 19 investments (based on sectors of the market) and 38 dates to buy and sell them, and by doing so, one could turn $1,000 into as much as $178,000 in a 20-year time frame.
“But this calendar is just one part of my investment system,” Hyman adds. “I have also designed a Crash Alert System that is designed to warn investors before a major correction as well.”
(The Crash Alert System was actually programmed by one of the individuals who coded nuclear missile flight patterns during the Cold War so that it could be as close to 100% accurate as possible).
Hyman explains that if the market starts to plunge, the Crash Alert System will signal a sell signal warning investors to go to cash.
“You would have been able to completely avoid the 2000 and 2008 collapses if you were using this system based on our back-testing,” Hyman explains. “Imagine how much more money you would have if you had avoided those horrific sell-offs.”
One might think Sean is being too confident, but he has proven himself correct in front of millions of people time and time again.
In a 2012 interview on Bloomberg Television, Hyman correctly predicted that Best Buy would drop down to $11 a share and then it would rally back up to $40 a share over the next few months. The stock did exactly what Hyman predicted.
Then, during a Fox Business interview with Gerri Willis in early 2013, he forecast that the market would rally to new highs of 15,000 despite the massive sell-off that was haunting investors. The stock market almost immediately rebounded and hit Hyman’s targets.
“A lot of people think I am lucky,” Hyman said. “But it has nothing to do with luck. It has everything to do with certain tools I use. Tools like the secret Wall Street calendar and my Crash Alert System.”
With more financial uncertainty than ever, thousands of people are flocking to Sean Hyman for his guidance. He has over 114,000 subscribers to his monthly newsletter, and his investment videos have been seen millions of times.
In a recent video, Hyman not only reveals the secret Wall Street calendar, he also shows how his Crash Alert System works so that anybody can follow in his footsteps
本文翻译由兄弟财经提供
文章来源：http://www.moneynews.com/MKTNewsIntl/stock-market-crash-warren-buffett-indicator/2014/10/03/id/598461/?dkt_nbr=ufos34vz&utm_source=taboola&utm_medium=referral