知识并非从交易中来

2015-09-14 15:28:04

今天我去了迪士尼乐园,我要告诉你,我在迪士尼没学到任何交易知识。在这里也学不到任何东西。我没学到养生知识,我没学到累的时候稍作休息,没学到耐心地教育孩子,没学到一杯水要多少钱,没学到行星绕太阳的运转周期,也没学到在孩子没完没了地要乐高玩具时说不。

在交易中学习?请三思

从某种角度来看,交易和迪士尼是一样的。你在交易中也学不到什么,至少学不到什么有用的。这同主流的观点相矛盾。请尽情地嘲笑我吧,但在嘲讽我之前,请给我几分钟让我解释一下。

在交易进行中,你不是在学习,你是在经历。经验是个很好的老师,但它却是马后炮。就像你在迪士尼尽情玩耍时,肯定学不会勤俭节约,但是当你回到家看到长长的信用卡账单时,你就知道该省着点花钱了。

在交易进行中,你了解不到任何事物的价值。你认为任何一次波动都会带来狂喜和恐慌,你认为每一次移动都是趋势的最后一步,至少在你看着走势图准备交易的时候是这样的。

在交易进行中,你学不到耐心。除了看舞会杀人夜和你第一个孩子出生之外,这是你最没有耐心的时候。

在交易进行中,如果你试图对你的操作进行评价,或是认为自己可以做得更好,那你就没救了。在交易进行中,你不可能重新做计划。在交易开始之前就做好规划,为可能出现的盈利、亏损都做好心理准备,剩下的就是依据设定好的步骤来进行。重要的事情要反复强调:做好决定再行动,无论出现什么状况都依计行事。因此在交易中就不需要做决定,也不需要吸取教训了。

谋而后动

之所以这样做,是因为在交易进行中,你是在操作,而不是在思考、衡量或推理。你要做的事情是一一对应的。你的杏仁核、大脑根部或是蜥蜴脑,无论它叫什么,在你交易过程中,只有这一部分发生变化,尤其是在让人想破脑袋的短期交易中。

Everything I Need To Know About Trading, I Learned From Not Trading

Today I’m in Disneyland. And I am going to tell you, I did not learn anything about trading from Disneyland. There is not one useful thing here, that you can apply to anywhere else in the world. I did not learn about healthy eating. I did not learn about pacing myself and resting when I was tired. I did not learn anything about being patient with my children. I did not learn anything about how much a bottle of water should cost. I did not learn anything about physics, the rotation of the planets around the sun, or how to say no to my children when they ask if they can buy more Legos.

Learning While Trading? Think Again 

And in that way, Disneyland is very similar to trading. You see, you don’t learn much about trading from trading. At least, nothing useful – when you are live trading, you are not learning anything. This is contrary to popular belief and by all means, bring on the ridicule. However, save your criticisms for just a few moments while I try to make my point.

When you are in the middle of a live trade, you are not learning, rather you are experiencing. And experience is a great teacher – after the fact. Just like, Disneyland is terrible for teaching you about being frugal and saving money while you are Disneyland, and it’s great for teaching you about that after you get home and look at your credit card bill.

When you are in the middle of a live trade, you don’t know the value of anything. You think that any small movement is reason for panic or euphoria. Every candle looks like a Viagra candle. Every move seems like the end, for good or bad. At least it can get that way when we are looking at the charts and trying to trade for a living.

When you are in the middle of a live trade, you don’t learn anything about patience. You’re the least patient you will ever be in your life, except for your prom night and maybe the day your first child is born. These two events may be connected in some way, which I find kind of funny. Anyway.

When you are in the middle of the trade, if you are tempted to start evaluating what you’ve done, or think about what you could have done better, you’re already dead. You don’t re-plan a battle when you’re in the middle of it. Set the ground rules in advance, know exactly what it will look like if it is a bad trade, and what it looks like if it is a good trade, and then act accordingly. Know your decisions ahead of time. This is so important I should spend an entire podcast just talking about that. It bears repeating: Know your decisions ahead of time, so all you have to do in the moment is react naturally. No decisions to make, no lessons you’re trying to teach yourself.

Man With A Plan

The reason for all of this is that in the middle of a live trade, you are doing, you are not pondering, thinking, evaluating, reasoning. You are doing actions and reactions. Your amygdala, or the root of your brain, or the lizard brain, or whatever they call it – that’s what is in charge. Especially for those of you crack heads that are trading on the really short-term charts. But really, for all of us. Just two days ago I planned a buy trade on the EUR/NZD – and I sent it out to (and I am not making this up) 43,000 people.

本文翻译由兄弟财经提供

文章来源: http://www.financemagnates.com/executives/insights/everything-need-know-trading-learned-trading/

 承诺与声明

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