对于交易者来说，最讽刺的莫过于自己便是自己最不信任的人。大多数交易者（包括我）对待交易事业时都对自己的直觉无比自信，而对自己的交易计划将信将疑。在我们进行交易之时，最擅长马后炮、最妨碍我们的人就是我们自己。
在连续几个月的交易计划中，中断一两次便会导致功亏一篑。冲动交易会控制我们的大脑，并“试图重返市场”，结果就是账户急速缩水。
在交易之中，最疯狂的事情莫过于你一直做得很对，可一旦出错，便会一错再错。除了交易（以及气象学），再没有哪个职业能够接受如此高频率的失败了。比如牙医。一旦你学会了堵牙洞，再重复堵上成百上千个牙洞也不会出错。但是在交易中，尤其是在快速的日内交易中，一天犯上一两次错误是极有可能的。
我们该如何信任自己的交易计划呢？练习，练习，再练习。交易是一种身体接触类项目，只有通过不断地重复才能够掌握。用模拟账户来练习是很多交易者会犯的错误。在我看来，模拟交易没有什么用处。它会给你带来错误的感受和反馈，尤其是你的账户里有几百万美元的时候。模拟账户的用处只有一个——熟悉交易软件。一旦学会，你就要改用真仓来交易。为什么呢？因为模拟账户永远无法复制真实交易的心理压力。
零售外汇平台的好处是你可以将交易点值设置为10美分，这样一来，你就可以用极少的代价来体验真仓了。你按照交易计划交易得越多，就越能体会到真实市场的复杂之处，就会变得愈加有耐心，就越发信赖你的交易计划，也更加信任你自己。
How To Trust Your Setup
One of the great ironies of life is that as traders we often trust ourselves least of all. Most traders (myself included) approach the whole enterprise with deadly combination of overweening sense of arrogance in our ability and underwhelming sense of confidence in our trade setups. When it comes trading no one can second guess or sabotage us better than ourselves.
All it takes is one or two stop outs in a row and suddenly the setup that we worked on for months, goes out the window. Impulsive trading takes over as we "try to get it back from the market" and the account soon plunges into a deep drawdown.
The most maddening thing about trading is that even if you are doing everything right you will be wrong continuously. In no other profession (except perhaps meteorology) does such a high rate of failure seem acceptable. Take dentistry. Once you know how to fill a cavity, you can repeat the process hundreds, thousands of times without ever making an error. In trading, especially in rapid day trading you will likely make an error at least once or twice each day.
So how we learn to trust our setups? Practice, practice, practice. Trading is contact sport and can only be mastered through endless repetition. One of the biggest mistakes that many traders make is to learn on a demo account. Demo trading in my opinion is less that useless. It creates a false sense of control and overblown sense of importance especially if you trade with "millions' of demo dollars. Demo trading is good for only one thing - getting to know the trading software. Once that's done you need to trade with real money. Why? Because you can never replicate the psychological pressures of real trading unless you have skin the game.
The great benefit of many retail FX trading platforms is that you can configure your size down to a 10 cent pip so you can still trade with real money but not have to pay much for your education. The more you trade your setup, the more you will learn its intricacies under real market conditions. The more patient you will become. The more you will start to trust your setup and the more you will start to trust yourself.
本文翻译由兄弟财经提供
文章来源：http://www.actionforex.com/articles-library/forex-articles/how-to-trust-your-setup-2008102565807/