三种交易欧元的简单策略

Alan Farley 2015年11月16日

欧元交易员对欧元区的经济强度与其主要贸易伙伴对比进行投资。欧元和美元之间的关系使二者成为世界上最主要的外汇货币对，其低点差和广泛的价格波动提供了大量的获利机会。

虽然有很多投资EUR/USD的方式，但是有三个方法将持续有效。这三个方式可以被所有技术水平的外汇交易员操作，利用这些方式新交易员可以减小仓位控制风险而有经验的交易员可以增加仓位充分利用机会。

股票交易员可以把这些技巧运用到欧元信托基金上，它将实时追踪外汇货币对。如果你能控制额外风险，杠杆和反向ETF可也可以交易。ProShares Ultra Euro可以进行多空投资，但是交易量惨淡，每天平均只有24,283股。ProShares UltraShort Euro向做空交易员提供相同的杠杆和更大的流动性，平均每天交易超过70万股。

买入或者卖出回调

EUR/USD价格会在两个方向摆动并在一个正反馈回路中使价格从一个水平移动到另一个水平，这可以产生强劲的势头。然而，这种快速移动会在供求关系变化时快速结束，通常后入者将会在货币对趋势逆转被困住。

回调策略利用这一相反趋势运动，鉴别出价格波动停止并重新开始趋势方向的重要支撑和阻止水平。这些水平通常是之前的低点或者高点，也可能是斐波纳契回调线、移动平均数和原趋势的起始点。

突破买入/下跌卖出

该货币对经常在一段时间内在固定的范围内徘徊，建立定义明确的交易区间并最终形成新趋势，新趋势可以上升或者下跌。有耐心的交易员通常在这些整合时期进行低风险交易以获得成功。

获得好的进入时间需要充分利用这个简单策略。入场太早可能触发逆转。入场太晚风险会升级，因为执行仓位可能刚好位于新的支撑位之上和阻力位以下。通常在在小回档位上升或下跌开放部分仓位是减少风险不错的选择。

窄幅波动入场模式

在上升或下跌的过程中会遇到阻力然后逐渐趋于稳定，这时价格呈现窄幅波段趋势波动下降。巧合的是，这一阶段正是突破和下跌的强烈进入信号。这是在窄幅波段入场的策略，严格止损以防大逆转发生。

这种设置通常呈现在NR7价格线中，这个价格线是过去7个价格线中高低点波幅最窄的。在20世纪20年代的美国期货市场观察的首次使用中，这种简单但是有力的模式预测出价格线将会扩展到一个相当大的突破或击穿。这种方法的风险也较低，因为止损可以设置在离入场价格很近的位置。

总结

新老交易员都能执行这三种简单但是有效的策略从而在重复的价格走势中获利。

3 Simple Strategies For Euro Traders

By Alan Farley | November 16, 2015 

Euro (EUR) traders speculate on the strength of the Eurozone economy, compared to its major partners. The relationship between the Euro and US Dollar (USD) marks the most liquid forex pair in the world, with tight spreads and broad price movement that supports a continuous flow of profitable opportunities.

While there are many ways to trade the EUR/USD pair, three simple strategies have been consistently effective. These can be executed by forex traders at all skill levels, with newer participants reducing position size to control risk while experienced players increase size to take full advantage of the opportunities.

Equity traders can apply these techniques with Currency Shares Euro Currency Trust (FXE), which tracks the forex pair in real-time. Leveraged and inverse ETFs can also be traded if you have the skills needed to manage the additional risk. ProShares Ultra Euro (ULE) offers double long side exposure, but it is thinly traded, at just 24,283 shares per day on average. ProShares UltraShort Euro (EUO) offers equal leverage to short sellers and greater liquidity, trading more than 700,000 shares per day on average.

Buy Or Sell The Pullback

The EUR/USD trend thrusts in both directions and carries the price from one level to another in a positive feedback loop that can generate considerable momentum. However, this rapid movement tends to fizzle out when the supply/demand equation shifts, often trapping latecomers in positions that will be excited for losses when the currency pair reverses and heads in the opposite direction.

The pullback strategy takes advantage of this countertrend movement, identifying significant support or resistance levels that should end the price swing and reinstate the initial trend direction. These levels often come at prior highs or lows as well as key levels defined by Fibonacci retracements, moving averages and the inception point of the original thrust.

Buy The Breakout/Sell The Breakdown

The pair often grinds back and forth within confined boundaries for extended periods, setting up well-defined trading ranges that will eventually yield new trends, higher or lower. Patience during these consolidation phases often pays off with low-risk trade entries when support or resistance finally breaks, giving way to a strong rally or selloff.

Good timing is needed to take full advantage of this simple strategy. Enter too early and the range could hold and trigger a reversal. Enter too late and risk escalates because the position will execute well above new support or well below new resistance. It’s often a good idea to reduce timing risk by opening a partial position when the pair breaks out or down and adding to it on the first minor retracement.

Enter Narrow Range Patterns

The pair will often rise or fall into a significant barrier and then go to sleep, printing narrow range price bars that lower volatility and raise apathy levels. Coincidentally, this quiet interface often marks a powerful entry signal for a breakout or breakdown. This strategy enters the position within the narrow range pattern, with a tight stop in place in case of a major reversal 

This setup often prints an NR7 bar, which marks the narrowest range price bar of the last seven bars. Originally observed in the U.S. futures markets in the 1950s, this powerful but simple pattern predicts that price bars will expand in a sizable breakout or breakdown. It’s also a low-risk entry because the stop loss can be set very close to the entry price.

The Bottom Line

New and experienced Euro traders can execute three simple but effective strategies that take advantage of repeating price action. 

本文翻译由兄弟财经提供

文章来源：http://www.investopedia.com/articles/forex/111615/3-simple-strategies-euro-traders.asp