快速波动的外汇市场中，大的波动似乎不知道其原因来自何处。对于外汇新手来说，了解塑造外汇市场各种经济数据、新闻事件、央行公布的结果等及其重要。事实上，快速地掌握如何去获得、获得哪些数据、数据意味着什么以及如何利用数据交易是交易者盈利的关键，是走向长期成功之路的基石。
根据技术图表交易或许可以带来巨大盈利，但是交易者必须清楚地意识到最终推动市场走势的基本面。下面是我们列出的5个最重要的新闻/经济数据，你现在就应该知道！。
5大市场新闻事件
1.央行的利率决议
全世界的央行都要商议各自所负责的经济体的利率。它们需要作出关于维持利率不变、提高或降低利率的决议。它们的决定对于该经济体的货币非常重要，因此，交易者需要格外关注。
利率的增加通常视为该货币的牛市（意思是货币的价值增加），利率降低为熊市（货币价值降低），利率不变可以是牛市也可以是熊市，取决于该经济体当时的市场解读。
决议的本身以及央行发表的关于整体经济、以及经济未来发展的看法十分关键。这也是央行发表货币政策的时候，比如是否会实行QE政策等。你可以根据利率决议作出很好的交易，比如，自从欧央行在2014年9月削减利率至0.05%，欧美至今已经下降了2000点。
2.GDP
国内生产总值是国家经济健康状况的一个重要指标。一个国家的央行每年都会对经济发展作出预测，而衡量国家经济发展速度的就是GDP。当GDP低于市场预期时，货币价值趋于下降；GDP大于市场预期时，货币价值上升。因此，外汇交易者敏锐地捕捉这些数据，并小心的利用它预测央行的行动。
当日本的GDP在2014年9月令人震惊地下降了1.6%，美日大幅下跌。交易者预测日央行将会进一步干预。
3.CPI (通货膨胀数据)
在众多衡量通货膨胀的经济指标中，消费者价格指数得到了最广泛的应用。该指标给出了消费者购买一篮子商品所需要的历史价格信息，并突出了消费者是否会为同样多的货物支付更多或者更少的价钱。
央行监测CPI数据，并以此来指导它们的利率决议。如果通货膨胀十分明显且超出某一目标，那么央行就会提高利率来应对通货膨胀。
2014年11月，加拿大CPI超出市场预期的2.2%，达到2.3%，随后加元兑日元利率上涨到6年来的高点。
4.失业率
一个国家的失业率对于市场十分关键，央行将其作为经济健康程度的一个重要指标。较高的就业率会使利率上升，因为央行的目标是平衡通货膨胀。因此，该数据也会得到交易者的大大关注。
与失业率联系密切的两个最重要的劳动力数据是美国每月公布的ADP就业数据以及非农（NFP），其中后者尤为重要。我们每个月都会预测非农数据，并分析如何根据非农结果交易。鉴于美联储当前的加息预期，非农数据的重要性每个月都相继增加。ADP就业数据是非农数据公布前的一个重要预测工具。
5.美联邦公开市场会议（FOMC）
所有经济体的央行会议是非常重要的，尤其是美联邦公开市场会议，因为当前美元是世界的储备货币。每个月委员会都会设定利率并就当前的经济情况、货币政策发表声明，同时对未来经济以及货币政策做出预测。与会者会对鹰派的增加利率以及鸽派的削减利率进行投票。
FOMC发表的声明被交易者敏锐地审查，他们希望通过此找出未来关于央行如何决议的线索，即使最无关紧要的说辞也会带来大的市场波动。比如近期美联储关于加息使用以及去除“病人”这个词语。
FOMC会议可能会导致巨大的市场波动。比如2015年3月18日，市场认为该会议将会对美元带来负面影响，欧美在几分钟内大涨400点。这些央行会议也是我们获知货币政策任何改变的地方，比如QE政策的宣布。这对外汇交易者十分重要。自从欧央行1月22日宣布它们最新的QE政策，欧美已经下跌了600多点。
所有经济数据以及新闻的重要性不在于它实际意味着什么，而在于市场如何预期以及接下来的市场反应，这也就是我们的交易机会所在。由于波动剧烈以及充满不确定性，新手交易新闻数据是非常困难的，幸运的是，我们可以借助一些非常好的技术指标交易消息时段。
5 Forex News Events You Need To Know
In the fast moving world of currency markets where huge moves can seemingly come from nowhere, it is extremely important for new traders to learn about the various economic indicators and forex news events and releases that shape the markets. Indeed, quickly getting a handle on which data to look out for, what it means, and how to trade it can see new traders quickly become far more profitable and sets up the road to long term success.
Trading technical chart patterns can be extremely profitable but one must always be aware of the fundamental story which is ultimately driving the markets. Below we have listed five of the most important News Releases/Economic Indicators you need to know right now!
Top 5 Market News Events
1.Central Bank Rate Decision
Each month the various Central Banks of the world’s economies meet to decide over the interest rates they are responsible for. The decision they have to make is whether to leave rates unchanged, raise rates or lower rates and the outcome of this decision is extremely important to the currency of the economy and as such, to traders.
An increase in rates is generally seen as bullish for the currency (meaning it will increase in value) and a decrease in rates is generally bearish for the currency (meaning it will decrease in value) whilst an unchanged decision can be either bullish or bearish depending on the perception of the economy at the time.
Whilst the actual decision itself is crucial, so too is the accompanying policy statement here the Central Bank gives it’s overview of the economy and how they view the future outlook. This is also where monetary policy is announced, which concerns vital matters such as the implementation of QE, which we explain thoroughly in our Forex Mastercourse.
Some of the best trades you can make come from rate decisions, for example, since the ECB cut the EuroZone rate to 0.05% in September 2014, EURUSD has since fallen by over 2000 pips.
2.GDP
The Gross Domestic Product is an important indicator of economic health in a country. A country’s central bank has expected growth outlooks each year that determine how fast a country should grow, as measured by GDP.
When GDP falls below market expectations, currency values tend to fall and when GDP outdoes expectations, currency values tend to rise. As such this figure’s release is keenly observed by currency traders and can be used to cautiously anticipate Central Bank movements.
When Japan’s GDP shockingly shrunk 1.6% in November 2014, the JPY fell sharply against the Dollar as traders anticipated further Central Bank intervention.
3.CPI (Inflation Data)
Consumer Price Index is the most widely used inflation measure out of the various economic indicators. The index gives information about the historical average prices paid by consumers for a basket of market goods and highlights whether the same goods are costing more or less for consumers.
Central Banks monitor this release to help guide them in their rate and policy setting. If inflation is seen to be evident, and moving beyond a certain target then interest rate rises are used to counter this.
In November 2014, Canadian CPI beat market expectations of 2.2% and came in at 2.3% with Canadian Dollar subsequently traded up to a six year high against the Japanese Yen.
4.Unemployment Rate
The unemployment rate of a country is crucial to markets given its importance to Central Banks as an indicator of the health of an economy. Higher employment leads to interest rate rises as Central Banks aim to balance inflation with growth and as such this figure draws huge market attention from traders.
Alongside the Unemployment rate the two most important labour statistics are the US ADP and NFP figures released each month with the NFP taking prime position. This figure is so important we do an NFP preview each month giving you our analysis on the release and how to trade it. Given the market’s current attention to the likely date of a Fed rate hike, this figure is growing in importance each month.
The ADP data is considered an important predictive tool for the NFP as it is released beforehand.
5.FOMC Meeting
Although the central bank meetings of all economies are extremely important, America’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting takes canter stage as the US Dollar is currently the world’s reserve currency.
Each month the committee meets to set rates and to give it’s pronouncement on current economic conditions and the effectiveness of current monetary policy, casting an eye forward to expectations of future economic conditions and adjoining monetary policy.
The committee is made up of members which vote at each meeting with “Hawkish” members those in favour of a rate rise and “Dovish” members those favouring a lowering of rates.
The statement released by the Committee is keenly scrutinized by traders looking for clues as to how the Central Bank will behave in future and even the most seemingly inconsequential of terminology can cause large market moves, as seen recently concerning the Fed’s usage and then removal of the term “patient”, regarding rate hikes.
FOMC meetings can cause huge market volatility as seen on March 18th 2015 when EURUSD spiked up 400 pips in a matter of minutes as markets perceived the meeting to be USD negative.
These Central Bank meetings are where we also learn about any changes in monetary policy, such as the announcement of quantitative easing. This is extremely important to currency traders and we explain this topic fully within our course.
Since the ECB announced their latest QE program on Jan 22nd of this year, EURUSD has fallen by over 600 pips
The key thing with all economic indicators and news releases is not just what the actual release means but how the market anticipates the release and subsequently reacts to it, this is where the trading opportunities are created. It can be extremely difficult for new traders seeking to trade news events as the volatility and uncertainty can be overwhelming, fortunately we have a fantastic suite of indicators which are perfect for trading news events.
本文翻译由兄弟财经提供，文章来源：http://www.fxstreet.com/education/forex-basics/5-forex-news-events-you-need-to-know/2015/04/24/