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2015-09-11 17:07:50
Alan Farley 2015年9月1日
欧元的流动性在美元之后排在全球第二位,在它后面是日元和英镑。交易员根据实时比较的欧元强弱进行投资。虽然汇商提供几十种相关的货币对,但是大多数客户都将注意力放在六组最受欢迎的货币对上:
EUR/USD
EUR/CHF
EUR/JPY
EUR/GBP
EUR/AUD
EUR/CAD
欧元交易在美国从周日晚上持续到周五下午,提供巨大的获利机会。然而,交易量和波动可以在一天内波动很大,点差在平静时间很大但是在活跃时间则减小。虽然在任何时间都可以开仓是外汇的关键标志,但是大多数交易策略都是在活跃时间展开的。
许多外汇交易员把全部精力放在EUR/USD上。该货币对在一天中的点差都很小,而多个盘中催化因素将确保价格活动在趋势和所有时间框架内都是可交易的。长期和短期波动也能非常好的与经典的窄幅波动的策略结合,包括波段交易和走势通道。
欧元价格催化剂
欧元交易的最佳时机是恰逢经济数据的发布、以及股票、期货和期权的交易时间。对这些数据的提前计划需要两方面的研究,因为欧元区催化因素可以推动所有主要货币对相同强度的移动。此外,因为 EUR/USD极其重要的地位美国经济数据可能对所有主要货币产生巨大影响。
另外,欧元货币对容易受到经济和政治宏观事件的影响。8月份的人民币贬值提供了一个很好的诠释。甚至自然灾害也能产生类似的效果,2011年的日本海啸就证明了这一点。
经济数据
欧元区的经济数据通常在美国东部时间上午两点发布。数据发布之前的30分钟到60分钟和发布之后的1到3个小时是交易欧元货币对的最活跃时间,因为新闻将对至少对五种主要货币对中的三种产生影响。这种影响还会重复到美国交易日,使大洋两岸产生巨大的交易量。
美国经济数据通常在东部时间上午8:30到10点发布同时也产生巨大的欧元交易量。日本经济数据的发布时间是在欧元区的睡眠时间,所以引起的关注较少。即使这样,在这些时间EUR/JPY和EUR/USD交易量也可能剧烈上升。
许多欧元交易员的交易计划大致跟随交易时间,集中他们的交易活动在法兰克福和纽约股票交易所和芝加哥期货和期权市场的营业时间。这种定位使美国东部时间午夜左右的交易量剧烈增长,持续到美国午饭时间,然后交易量大幅下降。
然而,中央银行议程改变这个活动周期,当美国联邦储备委员会(FOMC)下午2点将发布利率决定或者之前的会议记录时世界各地的外汇交易员都呆在办公桌前。英格兰银行在美国东部时间上午七点发布其利率决定,欧洲央行在美国东部时间上午7:45发布利率决定,二者的发布会引起欧元交易量的大量增加。
总结
六个流行的货币对为欧元交易员提供了大量的长短期交易机会。交易这些工具最好的时间是在关键经济数据发布的美国东部时间上午1:30、2:00、8:30和10:00,还有欧洲和美国交易所保持所有交叉市场活跃和流动的午夜和中午。
These Are The Best Hours To Trade the Euro
By Alan Farley | September 01, 2015
The euro (EUR) ranks second behind the U.S. dollar (USD) in terms of global liquidity, trailed by the Japanese yen (JPY) and British pound (GBP). Forex traders speculate on EUR strength and weakness through currency pairs that establish comparative value in real-time. Although brokers offer dozens of related crosses, most clients focus their attention on the six most popular pairs:
•U.S. dollar (USD) - EUR/USD
•Swiss franc (CHF) - EUR/CHF
•Japanese yen (JPY) - EUR//JPY
•British pound (GBP) - EUR/GBP
•Australian dollar (AUD) - EUR/AUD
•Canadian dollar (CAD) - EUR/CAD
EUR trades continuously from Sunday evening to Friday afternoon in the United States, offering significant opportunities for profit. However, volume and volatility can fluctuate greatly in each 24-hour cycle, with bid/ask spreads in the less popular pairs widening during quiet periods and narrowing during active periods. While the ability to open and close positions at any time marks a key benefit of forex, the majority of trading strategies unfold during active periods.
Many forex traders focus their full attention on the EUR/USD cross, the most popular and liquid currency market in the world. The cross maintains a tight spread throughout the 24-hour cycle, while multiple intraday catalysts ensure that price actions will set up tradable trends in both directions and along all time frames. Long- and short-term swings also work extremely well with classic range-bound strategies, including swing trading and trading channels.
Euro Price Catalysts
The best time to trade the euro coincides with the release of economic data, as well as the open hours at equity, options and futures exchanges. Planning ahead for these data releases requires two-sided research because local (eurozone) catalysts can move popular pairs with the same intensity as catalysts in each of the cross venues. Moreover, U.S. economic data can have the greatest impact on all currencies, due to the overriding importance of the EUR/USD pair.
In addition, EUR crosses are vulnerable to economic and political macro events that trigger highly correlated price actions across equities, currencies and bond markets around the world. China’s devaluation of the yuan in August 2015 offers a perfect illustration. Even natural disasters have the power to generate this type of coordinated response, as evidenced by the 2011 Japanese tsunami.
Economic Releases
Eurozone monthly economic data is generally released at 2 a.m. Eastern Time (ET) in the United States. The time segment from 30 to 60 minutes prior to these releases and one to three hours afterwards highlights an enormously popular period to trade EUR pairs because the news will impact at least three of the five most popular crosses. It also overlaps the run-up into the U.S. trading day, drawing in significant volume from both sides of the Atlantic.
U.S. economic releases tend to be released between 8:30 a.m. and 10 a.m. ET and generate extraordinary EUR trading volume as well, with high odds for strongly trending price movement in the most popular pairs. Japanese data releases get less attention because they tend to come out at 4:30 p.m. and 10 p.m. ET, when the eurozone is in the middle of their sleep cycle. Even so, trading volume with the EUR/JPY and EUR/USD pairs can spike sharply around these time zones.
Euro and Equity Exchange Hours
The schedules for many EUR traders roughly follow exchange hours, centering their activity when the Frankfurt and New York equity markets and Chicago futures and options markets are open for business. This localization generates an increase in trading volume around midnight on the U.S. East Coast, continuing through the night and into the American lunch hour, when forex trading activity can drop sharply.
However, central bank agendas shift this activity cycle, with forex traders around the world staying at their desks when the Federal Reserve (FOMC) is scheduled to release a 2 p.m. ET interest rate decision or the minutes of the prior meeting. The Bank of England (BOE) issues its rate decisions at 7 a.m. ET, while the European Central Bank (ECB) follows at 7:45 a.m. ET, with both releases taking place in the center of high volume EUR activity.
The Bottom Line
Six popular currency pairs offer euro traders a wide variety of short- and long-term opportunities. The best times to trade these instruments coincide with key economic releases at 1:30 a.m., 2 a.m., 8:30 a.m. and 10 a.m. U.S. Eastern Time, as well as between midnight and noon, when European and American exchanges keep all cross markets active and liquid.
本文翻译由兄弟财经提供
文章来源:http://www.investopedia.com/articles/forex/090115/these-are-best-hours-trade-euro.asp
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