4小时MACD 外汇策略

Again I ask you to study the movement of the price around the moving averages. When the price are above the 89SMA the trend is normally up and visa versa. After the price crosses the 89SMA it tends to pullback to the 21EMA before it carry on its direction if it is a trend direction change otherwise it tend to test the 89SMA again and then it runs over and across the 89SMA till it finds direction and then it pulls back to the 21EMA before proceeding on its path.

我再次让你研究在移动平均线附近的价格运动，当价格在89SMA以上时，趋势是通常

上涨的，相反在89SMA以下时价格通常会下跌。在价格和89SMA 交叉之后，它通常会回撤到21sma之后才继续它的原来的方向。如果趋势改变的话，它就会去再度试探89SMA并且突破89SMA直到确认方向，然后在轨道运行之前再次回撤21EMA。

Here are a live trade I did for someone in explaining how I trade. This is actual

e-mails that I did send. 25 January 2007 21:00 (GMT+2)

下面是解释我怎样为某人做的一笔实况交易。这是我确实的发出去的e-mail。25 January 2007 21:00 (GMT+2)

Hi

I took it with 30 pip stoploss and hope I can add to the Gbp one earlier this week. Greetings

我做了30点止损，希望我可以在这周早点的增加gbp。祝贺.

The MACD pulled back to the Zero line and then closes lower which indicate a down move.

MACD拉回到0轴线然后收盘更低，这暗示一波下跌

“Got entry at 1.2955 and has set stoploss at breakeven at 1.2955 when price did hit 1.2935. I am scared for a false breakout below support but now the price can turnaround as I have a free ride.”

在1.2955进场，当价格触击1.2935时，把止损设置在平衡点1.2955。我担心下支撑的假突破，但是现在价格正向我想的那样轻松的反转了。

“Took 50% profit at 1.2920 and set other half stoploss at 1.2935”

在1.2920平半仓，并且在1.2935设另外半仓的止损。

“Hi

Amazing how it found support with Fibonacci. I wanted to do this trade with you as it developed so that you can see how I go about. I just had a feeling that the price is not going to go down to 1.2900 straight away so I applied fibonacci as there was no other indicator between the entry price and 1.2900. One has to listen to that little voice inside as well. I was stopped out on the other have at 1.2935 so the total gain was 35 pips on 50% and 20 pips on the other 50% for a total of 27.5 pips on full lot.

Not bad for an hour work.

你会惊讶斐波纳契数列如何提供支撑的。我想在行情继续发展时进行这个交易以便让你明白我如何操作的。我只是感觉价格不会直线下跌到1.2900，所以我用斐波纳契数测量进场价至1。2900而不必使用其他指标。这也可以从里面知晓一些很细微的变化。我在1.2935出掉其他仓位，因此总的收益是一半是35点一半是20点，总盈利是27.5点。

这小时的操作还是不赖的。

This trade however was a bit risky as it was a breakout trade after ten days consolidation testing a trendline angling upwards. One has to evaluate the risk not only in terms of pips but also in terms of strategy and chart pattern. After a breakout the price very often turns back to test the breakout level and then that level becomes either support or resistance in this case it becomes Eur resistance.

这个交易无论怎么说还是有点风险的，因为它突破之后经过十天的巩固测试趋势线之后盘升。要衡量风险，不但表现在可盈利的点数，还表现在对策略及蜡烛形态把握。突破后，价格往往要回测突破位置并且该位置可以是支撑也可以是阻力，既然这样，那么它就是eur的阻力。

Stoploss have to be inside the breakout otherwise it can be triggered and then sometimes it can be very big before entry signal is given by the MACD.

止损点必须在突破价格以内，否则在MACD给出进入信号之前，它会触发，有时止损也要设置得非常大.

Here is what I normally do when the MACD shows a signal but the stoploss are to big in relation to my capital or what I am comfortable with. I enter the trade in three stages with my stoploss set at the same level.

这是当macd给出信号而相对我的资金，所做的止损十分大时我通常的做法或我满意的做法。我分3步进场，止损也设置在相同的水平。

I stopped counting the pips for the April 2006 testing as it completely convinced me of the success of this method. I randomly tested it using previous years and the results were amazing. Average of 300+ pips per month and then I only trade the trades that gives signals at these times 17:00, 21:00 and 01:00 (GMT +2). It gives between 8-10 deals per month using the mentioned timeframes.. (I use Metatrader and data supply by MIG.)

我停止了计算2006年4月测试所得的点数，因为它已经完全让我相信这个方法是成功的。我在前些年随便的测试该方法的使用，而所得的结果让人惊讶。每月平均300点盈利，我交易那些在17:00, 21:00 和01:00 (GMT +2)出现的交易信号。利用这个方法，它每月给出8－10笔交易信号。（我用mt并且由MIG提供数据）

If you use patterns in the MACD that occur regular that gives results and use them every time they occur you will most definitely make money.

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