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2011-08-19 09:23:09
如果你用了规则的给出信号的MACD模式,并且每次出现信号的时候便交易,你绝大多数明确的是在赚钱的。
I haven’t discuss nor used trendlines so far in this document and when you add them it will most definitely helps you in defining your exit levels. The entry level are determine by the MACD but the exit or profit levels is determine by support and resistance levels. I use the moving averages as described earlier as well as Fibonacci levels and then most definitely trendlines and price levels. I normally take the daily graph and draw the trendlines according to it and then go to the 4 hour graph. I makethem nice and thick so that I can see them. Then I draw the different price levels such as 1.2900, 1.3000, 1.3100 etc. It is amazing to see how the price find support and or resistance at these levels. I hope that this document will help you on your way to financial independents.
到目前为止在本文中我并没有讨论不用趋势线,而且如果添加他们的话会帮助你更好的确认出场点。进场点有MACD给出而出场点或者盈利水平则有支撑和阻力水平决定。我用前面提到的移动平均线和Fibonacci然后还用一些明确的确实线和价格水平。我通常用日图并且按照它画趋势线,然后4H图。我把他们画的很漂亮跟粗,这样我能方便的看到他们。接着我会画出不同的价格水平像1.2900, 1.3000,1.3100等。在这些价位可以找到支撑和阻力。
我希望本问对你独立的金融之路有帮助。
Planning a trade 制定交易计划
There is different ways in planning a trade but this is how I do it.
制定计划可以有很多种,而这是我如何做计划的:
A. This is the entry point determined by the MACD. There is no mystery about the entry. When the MACD satisfy the rules as outlined in the 4 Hour MACD strategy document then enter.
MACD决定的入场点。进场点没甚么神秘,只要MACD满足了4小时MACD策略文章里的要点时即可进场。
B. This is our first area of partial profit taking. We have 3 barriers namely the 8EMA, 21EMA and the price level of 1.2200 to overcome. Where you set your partial profit taking is up to you. If you can watch it live you can always decide real time otherwise set it at what you feel comfortable with. The order of importance is price level first, then 21EMA and the 8EMA.
获利的第一个区域。我们有3个阻力线分别是8EMA,21EMA和需要突破的1.2200整位数关口。你可以决定哪一个阻力位做为你的获利目标。如果你可以现场观察它,你总能随时决定平仓,否则你就按你满意的设置。重要的顺序是,整位数价格第一,然后是21EMA,最后是8EMA
C. Next is the 89SMA and the price level of 1.2100. Both very important but the 89SMA normally halts or turn the price around. At this stage I will close everything except 20% of my position if there is still room to go.
接下来就是89SMA和1.2100整位数关口。这些都很重要。但是89SMA通常会价格停顿一下或者价格转向。在这样情况下,除非到我的进场价仍有20%的空间可走,否则我会平掉所有头寸。
D. Just above D we have a trendline that should see our full position closed. It could go to the 200SMA and the blue zone but only when live in front of the computer will I give it still a chance below the trendline.
在D区域上方我们可以看到一根趋势线,这里就是我们所有的头寸应该平掉的地方。价格可能回到SMA200及蓝色区域,但如果我不是坐在电脑旁,我不会考虑趋势线下方的可能。
This is how it worked out. It is easy afterwards but you must plan your trade in advance. The entry is not a factor anymore therefore one can concentrate in managing the trade.
这就是整个计划的制作了。只要你提前做好计划,接下来的事情就变得容易了。进场不再是重要的因素,由此,你可以更专注在管理自己的交易。
Take partial profit at B, then another at C and then closed out at D. It completely ignored the 89SMA and went straight down to the trendline. When the trendline was hit the MACD indicated a trade upwards with the 89SMA as first barrier and so on and so on and so on.
得到B区域的盈利,再者C区域,最后在D区域全部平仓。价格完全忽视89SMA的阻力并直接下跌至趋势线。当碰及趋势线时,macd指示一个可以89SMA为第一阻力位的做多交易,余下的我们再重新把计划进行。
附录一
I have been on a lot of forums only observing as to the ideas and behavior of
people. This forum is the first one I found where people really exchange some useful and
positive information.
I always asked myself why is it that only about 5% is making a success of it as the
overall claim are amongst brokers. After two years of study and trying about every
strategy I could lay my hands on I come to the conclusion that as people differs in looks
and in perceptions they also differs in their trading perceptions.
Then I saw people act upon their perception and interpretation of what they feel is
the right thing to do. I am right and they are wrong is the type of attitude. Then there are
those that follow someone else religiously as long as he give the direction till he is wrong
three times in a row than it is off to the next system.
Why am I telling you all about this. If you haven’t tested a system over at least 30
live trades (paper trades) you cannot declare it as successful. After 30 trades you will
have the heart of the system engraved inside. What I mean by engraved is that you should
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